Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000750 0.000802 0.000858 0.000920 0.000989 0.001063 0.001148
2026-01-11 0.000666 0.000737 0.000815 0.000907 0.001015 0.001137 0.001286
2026-01-18 0.000613 0.000695 0.000788 0.000903 0.001041 0.001204 0.001414
2026-01-25 0.000655 0.000762 0.000888 0.001050 0.001254 0.001508 0.001853
2026-02-01 0.000601 0.000710 0.000840 0.001011 0.001234 0.001519 0.001921
2026-02-08 0.000560 0.000670 0.000804 0.000984 0.001223 0.001538 0.001997
2026-02-15 0.000531 0.000643 0.000782 0.000972 0.001230 0.001580 0.002106
2026-02-22 0.000501 0.000612 0.000753 0.000948 0.001219 0.001594 0.002175
2026-03-01 0.000470 0.000579 0.000718 0.000914 0.001191 0.001581 0.002200
2026-03-08 0.000450 0.000559 0.000700 0.000902 0.001192 0.001610 0.002292
2026-03-15 0.000430 0.000538 0.000680 0.000886 0.001186 0.001626 0.002362
2026-03-22 0.000400 0.000503 0.000639 0.000837 0.001129 0.001563 0.002298
2026-03-29 0.000375 0.000476 0.000610 0.000807 0.001103 0.001553 0.002335
2026-04-05 0.000359 0.000459 0.000594 0.000797 0.001107 0.001588 0.002453
2026-04-12 0.000346 0.000446 0.000584 0.000793 0.001119 0.001638 0.002604
2026-04-19 0.000372 0.000490 0.000655 0.000916 0.001340 0.002057 0.003500
2026-04-26 0.000352 0.000466 0.000627 0.000884 0.001308 0.002037 0.003541
2026-05-03 0.000336 0.000446 0.000605 0.000861 0.001289 0.002038 0.003626
2026-05-10 0.000324 0.000434 0.000592 0.000851 0.001291 0.002078 0.003797
2026-05-17 0.000310 0.000417 0.000574 0.000831 0.001275 0.002081 0.003888
2026-05-24 0.000295 0.000399 0.000551 0.000802 0.001241 0.002048 0.003894
2026-05-31 0.000286 0.000388 0.000539 0.000793 0.001240 0.002079 0.004051
2026-06-07 0.000276 0.000376 0.000526 0.000779 0.001231 0.002092 0.004169